Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-16 110.974633 127.234557 145.991510 169.450304 198.319115 233.105404 2.788488e+02
2025-03-23 91.022924 112.097169 138.992215 176.708272 229.732523 304.111148 4.212799e+02
2025-03-30 76.056879 97.641774 126.894722 170.952640 238.563545 344.058229 5.346467e+02
2025-04-06 67.804661 90.015504 121.636745 172.230779 256.104366 400.532133 6.993604e+02
2025-04-13 61.144145 83.354098 116.247473 171.565467 269.508433 453.645997 8.870395e+02
2025-04-20 57.712583 80.781027 116.333088 179.282109 298.847752 546.773442 1.227379e+03
2025-04-27 55.915851 80.342856 119.523970 192.679780 342.441873 688.984810 1.835916e+03
2025-05-04 51.761180 75.646255 114.974296 191.059471 355.075980 765.828652 2.338898e+03
2025-05-11 48.775837 72.492069 112.576870 192.977690 375.883921 874.897521 3.141117e+03
2025-05-18 45.465788 68.451501 108.096400 189.906083 384.257732 953.794042 3.969964e+03
2025-05-25 43.248690 66.043910 106.250396 191.905394 405.754703 1088.033922 5.495092e+03
2025-06-01 41.004260 63.376974 103.602394 191.704383 421.587055 1214.888809 7.482452e+03
2025-06-08 38.109215 59.539441 98.738576 186.779543 426.088449 1316.541568 1.002245e+04
2025-06-15 36.877134 58.600817 99.437768 194.959525 472.792501 1651.203129 1.934823e+04
2025-06-22 34.304610 54.972402 94.356839 188.391644 471.656727 1761.571393 2.723417e+04
2025-06-29 32.759642 53.115506 92.653789 189.849697 497.897607 2059.621158 5.241740e+04
2025-07-06 31.170334 51.037669 90.253902 189.090650 516.556596 2348.344367 1.063812e+05
2025-07-13 30.503500 50.660604 91.393320 197.903000 575.367441 3049.125297 5.438522e+05
2025-07-20 30.328010 51.215729 94.613044 213.246303 670.589789 4389.835925 9.394599e+08
2025-07-27 28.953849 49.271398 92.030346 211.387832 690.668525 5053.813891 NaN
2025-08-03 27.954865 48.009046 90.870221 213.588087 731.912274 6206.191073 NaN
2025-08-10 26.682068 46.097647 88.015643 210.065386 743.457695 7008.668920 NaN
2025-08-17 25.845269 45.029734 87.046358 212.357996 787.953837 8761.381388 NaN